Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta
#66 · 35 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 10–8
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#230 · 38 yrs · R
9wPablo Carreno Busta and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 5 times since 2015; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Busta has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Busta leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 10 sets to Agut's 8. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at French Open - Paris (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Bautista Agut 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Bautista Agut.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 3, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2020
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 9, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 27, 2016
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Final
Sep 3, 2015
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Agut's 17%).
| Opponent | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | L 61 57 26 | L 46 67 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 26 46 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | W 63 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | L 64 26 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | L 16 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 36 46 | L 04 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 32% |
| Sets won | 60% | 36% |
| Games won | 53% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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