Grand Slam · Round of 128 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Ruiz
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 297 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +18.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | +3.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Busta
1
Ruiz
Mar 27, 2026
Montemar ENE Construccion
C Clay · Final
Aug 26, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruiz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Busta's 60%).
| Opponent | Busta | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 36 67 76 06 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Javier Barranco Cosano | W 63 62 | W 64 75 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 61 46 | W 63 26 75 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 67 76 26 | W 63 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 68.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 67.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 51.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 53.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 33.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 43.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 27.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 33.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Merida
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Jacopo Vasami
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 3
Michele Ribecai
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Nicolas Mejia
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Pablo Llamas Ruiz face off in the Round of 128 at US Open on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Merida (Jun 5).
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