Grand Slam · Round of 16 · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Novak Djokovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | -1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Busta
3
Djokovic
Oct 6, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 7, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 13, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 75%).
| Opponent | Busta | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | W 76 61 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | W 63 62 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 63 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 76 | W 63 60 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 70.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 73.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 56.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 7.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 60.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 32.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 50.1% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 44.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 71.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 52.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Valentin Royer
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Dino Prizmic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jack Draper
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Novak Djokovic face off in the Round of 16 at US Open on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Novak Djokovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 29).
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