Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Busta
0
Kovalik
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 29, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kovalik's 33%).
| Opponent | Busta | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Barranco Cosano | W 63 62 | W |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 36 64 57 |
| Sebastian Sorger | W 75 64 | L 46 75 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 59.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 59.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 43.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 35% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 27% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 42.3% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 50% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 42.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Jozef Kovalik face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Jozef Kovalik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Dimitar Kuzmanov (Jun 19).
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