Jozef Kovalik and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2018; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Australian Open (2020).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovalik | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jozef Kovalik | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/10 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovalik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kovalik's 33%).
| Opponent | Kovalik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Barranco Cosano | W | W 63 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 64 57 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Sebastian Sorger | L 46 75 46 | W 75 64 |
Last five matches per player
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 19
Piotr Galus
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 18
Javier Barranco Cosano
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 16
Andrej Martin
Kosice Open 2026 · Round of 32
May 26
Federico Bondioli
M25 Reggio Emilia · Round of 32
May 11
Sebastian Sorger
Bad Waltersdorf · Round of 32
Sep 17
Marvin Moeller
Bad Waltersdorf · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Marco Cecchinato
Bad Waltersdorf · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–57 matches
| Metric | Kovalik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 67% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovalik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovalik | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
