ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Canada
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 70 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 20–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.14 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | +1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Busta
1
Sinner
Aug 11, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 27, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 11, 2020
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Busta's 60%).
| Opponent | Busta | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 64 16 26 26 | W 62 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 63 | W 64 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 64 | W 62 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | W 61 63 61 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 62 64 | W 63 62 |
| Luca Nardi | W 67 64 76 | W 64 63 60 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 64 62 67 36 | L 67 62 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 46 26 46 | W 63 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 61.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 57.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 42.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 32% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 50.2% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 36.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 21.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 69.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 52.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Jannik Sinner face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Canada on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
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