ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Metz
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 106 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Holger Rune here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | - |
| ROI % | +10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Busta
1
Rune
Aug 8, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 10, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 13, 2022
Halle
G Grass · Round of 32
Sep 24, 2021
Metz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Busta and Rune posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Busta | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | W 75 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 46 76 62 | W 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 63 76 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 0% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
Stockholm · Round of 16
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 16
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 32
Oct 5
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Holger Rune face off in the Quarterfinals at Metz on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Holger Rune is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Oct 17).
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