ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Grigor Dimitrov here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -65.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | -4.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
3
Busta
4
Dimitrov
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International presented by ANZ
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 20, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2017
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 2, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
May 2, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Nov 3, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dimitrov's 67%).
| Opponent | Busta | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | L 67 67 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | W 63 64 76 |
| Yoshihito Nishioka | W 60 63 | W 62 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 60.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 76.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 55.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 62.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 26.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 50.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 21 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 70.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 52% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Grigor Dimitrov face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3-4 over 7 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Grigor Dimitrov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Conor Gannon (Jun 17).
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