ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Lajovic
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 57% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 217 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | -2.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Busta
2
Lajovic
Sep 4, 2025
Seville
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Aug 8, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 14, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
May 13, 2015
Nice
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Lajovic's 40%).
| Opponent | Busta | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 64 16 26 26 | L 36 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | L 64 57 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 64 26 76 | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Billy Harris | W 75 63 | L 36 26 46 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 67 76 26 | L 36 16 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 36 63 | L 36 16 |
| Daniel Rincon | W 62 62 | W 64 75 |
| Lukas Neumayer | W 75 46 63 | W 62 76 |
| Liam Draxl | W 26 64 64 | W 36 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 67.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 59.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 31.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 47.4% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 34.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 23.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 23.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 59.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 50.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Oriol Roca Batalla
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Jonas Forejtek
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 9
Henrique Rocha
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 4
Gonzalo Bueno
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Jurij Rodionov
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Dusan Lajovic face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Dusan Lajovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Oriol Roca Batalla (Jun 11).
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