Dusan Lajovic vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dusan Lajovic and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 6 times since 2015; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Nice in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Lajovic leads 2–1. On hard courts Busta leads 2–0. Across all meetings Lajovic has taken 5 sets to Busta's 9. Their most recent meeting: Dusan Lajovic won at Seville Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lajovic | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dusan Lajovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 17/27 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 16/24 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 17/29 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lajovic 0, Carreno Busta 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lajovic
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dusan Lajovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2025
Seville Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Jul 16, 2021
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
May 13, 2015
Nice
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lajovic | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dusan Lajovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +2.3% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.30u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Lajovic's 20%).
| Opponent | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | L 62 57 46 | L 36 64 26 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 63 46 63 36 46 | W 61 63 |
| Matej Dodig | L 36 67 | W 64 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Lukas Neumayer | W 64 64 | W 75 46 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 46 | L 26 16 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 46 | W 64 26 76 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 63 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 16 | W 62 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Lloyd Harris
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
James McCabe
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 13
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Vilius Gaubas
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Chris Rodesch
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–65 matches
| Metric | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 65% |
| Sets won | 50% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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