Dusan Lajovic vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dusan Lajovic and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 6 times since 2015; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Nice in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Lajovic leads 2–1. On hard courts Busta leads 2–0. Across all meetings Lajovic has taken 5 sets to Busta's 9. Their most recent meeting: Dusan Lajovic won at Seville Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lajovic | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dusan Lajovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 20/57 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 13/27 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 19/28 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 20/31 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lajovic 0, Carreno Busta 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lajovic
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2025
Seville Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Jul 16, 2021
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
May 13, 2015
Nice
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lajovic | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dusan Lajovic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | +16.8% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.51u | -2.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,479 mi · 2,381 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | ESP → POL | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Lajovic's 22%).
| Opponent | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 60 64 | W 62 36 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 67 62 36 | L 36 64 26 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 63 46 63 36 46 | W 61 63 |
| Matej Dodig | L 36 67 | W 64 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 46 | W 64 26 76 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 63 46 26 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Martin Landaluce
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
David Jorda Sanchis
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–59 matches
| Metric | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lajovic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.