ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Chengdu
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Garin
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,522 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | -24.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | -3.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Busta
0
Garin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Garin's 0%).
| Opponent | Busta | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 57 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | L 67 61 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Liam Draxl | W 26 64 64 | L 64 46 26 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 36 63 | L 46 63 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 59.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 71.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 33.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 23.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 74.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras Open 4 · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Cristian Garin face off in the Quarterfinals at Chengdu on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Cristian Garin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Learner Tien (May 26).
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