ATP 500 · Semifinals · Rio de Janeiro
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Casper Ruud here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +4.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | +0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Busta
2
Ruud
Apr 22, 2022
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 31, 2019
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 22, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Busta's 57%).
| Opponent | Busta | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 63 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | W 63 61 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | W 61 62 76 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 64 57 36 | W 61 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 46 26 46 | L 63 46 36 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 64 26 76 | W 61 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 67.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 46% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 51.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 31.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 42.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 21.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 75.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Casper Ruud face off in the Semifinals at Rio de Janeiro on Clay.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 31).
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