ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Montemar
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Pablo Carreno Busta are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,218 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -32.8% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.92u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kjaer
0
Busta
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kjaer's 50%).
| Opponent | Kjaer | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | W 41 42 14 42 | L 64 64 16 26 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 63 26 57 | W 57 75 75 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 46 | W 46 63 76 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 62 61 | W 62 64 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 76 63 | L 46 26 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 76 36 67 | W 36 63 64 |
| Luca Nardi | L 36 06 | W 67 64 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 41 34 42 43 | W 62 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.7% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.9% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.3% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.4% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 38.1% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 14.7 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.2% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.7% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 53% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at Montemar on Clay.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 14).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Share this match
