ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Orleans
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
💥 Big Hitter
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.48 |
| ROI % | -32.8% | -58.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.92u | -8.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Kjaer
1
Gaston
Oct 10, 2025
Roanne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2025
Orleans
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gaston's 40%).
| Opponent | Kjaer | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Virtanen | W 67 76 63 | L 16 63 36 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 41 34 42 43 | L 36 26 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 67 57 | L 64 26 26 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 76 36 67 | L 46 26 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | W 62 63 | L 57 26 |
| Matej Dodig | L 67 57 | W 36 63 63 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 76 67 62 | W 62 64 |
| Clement Chidekh | W 61 46 62 | L 57 63 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.7% | 56.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.9% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.3% | 46.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 46.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.4% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| BP Converted % | 38.1% | 39.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 14.7 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27 | 36.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.2% | 68% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.7% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Hugo Gaston face off in the Round of 32 at Orleans on Hard.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 14).
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
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