Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Matteo Berrettini plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +9.2% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.20u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Berrettini
1
Busta
Aug 9, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 16, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Busta's 40%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 76 57 67 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 67 75 61 62 | W 46 76 62 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 36 64 62 | L 46 63 36 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | L 64 57 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 36 | L 36 61 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Berrettini | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.7% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.7% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.7 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 41.9% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 38% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 14.8 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.4 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 48.6% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.8% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Francisco Comesana
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Arthur Rinderknech
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Marton Fucsovics
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Matteo Berrettini and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Matteo Berrettini leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Matteo Berrettini is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (Jun 3).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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