ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Canada
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Matteo Arnaldi plays Mackenzie McDonald.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | +47.1% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | +8.47u | -3.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Arnaldi
1
McDonald
Mar 5, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 7, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 17%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 46 76 64 | L 26 26 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 16 76 67 | L 36 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 75 64 | L 62 16 26 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 46 63 57 | L 36 26 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 76 64 | L 46 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | W 64 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.1 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.4 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.4% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Canada on Hard.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
Share this match
