Mackenzie McDonald and Matteo Arnaldi have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at BNP Paribas Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | +8.47u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 17%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 36 | W 46 76 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 26 | L 16 76 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 62 16 26 | W 75 64 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 36 26 | L 46 63 57 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 36 | W 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 36 63 | L 36 36 |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Merida
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 8
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–57 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 51% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
