ATP Masters 1000 · 1st Round Qualifying · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🛡️ The Spoiler
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 61% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,877 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | +1.9% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.34u | -3.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Merida
0
McDonald
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs McDonald's 25%).
| Opponent | Merida | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 36 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 36 75 26 | L 62 16 26 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 62 36 | L 26 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 26 62 75 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 16 67 | L 46 26 |
| Hugo Grenier | L 46 67 | W 76 61 |
| George Loffhagen | W 61 16 75 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Merida | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.7% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.7% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.9% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.9% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.6% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.5% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 39.4% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.6 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.3 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.2% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 65% | 14% |
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 3
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Match summary
Daniel Merida meets Mackenzie McDonald in the first round of qualifying at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on May 4, a clay court event in Rome. Merida is ranked 86, McDonald at 129. The two have never played.
Merida has won 7 of his last 10 matches and carries a 65% record on clay. McDonald has won just one of his last five and holds a 10% conversion rate on the surface across his recent sample. McDonald is on a four-match losing streak; Merida lost his most recent match a week ago. McDonald has played once in the past two weeks; Merida has been active with four matches in the same span.
Merida constructs points methodically and relies on consistency to wear down opponents. McDonald plays an aggressive baseline game built on power and depth. On clay, Merida's defensive foundation and movement have proven durable; McDonald's heavy hitting has faltered significantly on the slower surface. The match turns on whether McDonald can impose his pace early or whether Merida settles into the grinding rallies that suit his game.
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