WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.83 |
| ROI % | +54.5% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
3
Kostyuk
4
Pegula
Apr 21, 2026
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 24, 2025
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 18, 2025
Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 26, 2024
San Diego
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 15, 2022
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pegula's 70%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | W 62 16 61 | W 76 62 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 75 67 63 | W 64 60 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 60 | L 36 61 67 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 63 | W 46 64 75 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Ann Li | W 60 67 63 | W 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 62 36 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 63 | W 16 64 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 57 63 63 | W 60 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 46 62 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kostyuk | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58% | 63.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.5% | 71.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.7% | 52.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.9% | 60.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.3% | 38.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 64.1% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 53.6% | 40.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.1% | 53.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 82% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Marta Kostyuk leads 3-4 over 7 previous meetings.
Marta Kostyuk is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mirra Andreeva (Apr 21).
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Anastasia Potapova (May 5).
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