ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Moscow
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Marin Cilic plays Tommy Paul.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 15–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -27.5% | +12.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.75u | +2.41u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Cilic
1
Paul
Aug 11, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 13, 2022
Adelaide 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 20, 2021
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Cilic's 60%).
| Opponent | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | L 57 36 | W 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 46 | W 75 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 36 76 63 | W 76 63 57 57 75 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 46 63 57 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 36 | W 62 75 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 61 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 46 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 64 63 | W 62 36 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 | W 62 26 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 76 | W 46 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Cilic | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.9% | 63.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 71.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 51% |
| Aces / Match | 6 | 5.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.5% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.6% | 52.8% |
| BP Converted % | 40% | 47.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.4 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.6 | 28.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.6% | 71.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 51.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 20
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Matchup overview
Marin Cilic and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 16 at Moscow on Hard.
Marin Cilic leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Marin Cilic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 16).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 20).
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