WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Berlin
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,103 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Maria Sakkari here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -14.4% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
1
Sakkari
4
Kasatkina
Jan 12, 2026
Adelaide
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 13, 2022
Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2022
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 6, 2018
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
May 28, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Sakkari and Kasatkina posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Sakkari | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | W 64 64 | L |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 61 63 | W 64 64 |
| Peyton Stearns | L 36 16 | W 61 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 26 | L 75 16 16 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 36 62 | W 62 46 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sakkari | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.7% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 56.2% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1.6 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.9% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.7% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 74.8% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 44.6% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Maria Sakkari and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Quarterfinals at Berlin on Grass.
Maria Sakkari leads 1-4 over 5 previous meetings.
Maria Sakkari is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Qinwen Zheng (Jun 15).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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