ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Shenzhen (Longhua)
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Noguchi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 5,936 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -32.5% | +20.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | +3.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
McDonald
0
Noguchi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both McDonald and Noguchi posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 62 63 | W 62 75 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | L 67 67 |
| Liam Draxl | L 63 67 26 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | McDonald | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.2% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.5 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 67.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.9% | 34.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 50.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.5 | 27.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30.5 | 27.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63% | 60% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.1% | 53.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 57% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Clement Tabur
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 16
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Paul Jubb
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Patrick Brady
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Keegan Smith
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Matchup overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Rio Noguchi face off in the Round of 16 at Shenzhen (Longhua) on Hard.
Mackenzie McDonald leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
Rio Noguchi is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Clement Tabur (Jun 16).
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