ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Lexus Ilkley Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🎯 Baseliner
Noguchi
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 60% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 685 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Keegan Smith here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +3.5% | +31.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | +4.74u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Smith
0
Noguchi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Noguchi's 33%).
| Opponent | Smith | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Philip Sekulic | W 62 75 | W 62 76 |
| Alex Bolt | L 67 67 | L 67 67 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 57 60 63 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Smith | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.4% | 68.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.5% | 50.1% |
| Aces / Match | 6.5 | 1.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.8% | 69.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.7% | 58.3% |
| BP Converted % | 34.7% | 51.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.8 | 23.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.5 | 32.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 56.3% | 68.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Rio Noguchi
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Finn Bass
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Ben Jones
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Manish Sureshkumar
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 32
May 19
Philip Sekulic
KARNATAKA OPEN · Final
May 16
Matchup overview
Keegan Smith and Rio Noguchi face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Lexus Ilkley Open on Grass.
Keegan Smith leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Keegan Smith is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Rio Noguchi (Jun 8).
Rio Noguchi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Keegan Smith (Jun 8).
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