ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Hong Kong
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,524 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Sonego plays Brandon Nakashima.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.89 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -62.9% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.40u | -4.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Sonego
0
Nakashima
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 61 63 67 76 | L 67 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 63 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 46 63 61 | W 63 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 36 | L 67 75 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 57 | L 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | L 26 67 |
| Juncheng Shang | L 36 46 | W 75 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 76 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 76 63 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | L 67 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sonego | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.5% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 73.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.7% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 7.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 1.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.6% | 41.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34% | 27.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.6% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.7% | 58% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.2 | 23.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.3 | 26.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.4% | 70.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 51.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Roberto Bautista Agut
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 9
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 32 at Hong Kong on Hard.
Lorenzo Sonego leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Sonego is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tommy Paul (May 27).
Brandon Nakashima is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (May 29).
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