ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,873 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Musetti plays Hubert Hurkacz.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 3–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -25.0% | -41.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.75u | -4.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Musetti
2
Hurkacz
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hurkacz's 40%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | L 76 36 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 75 76 | W 76 57 61 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | L 76 67 57 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 64 63 13 | L 75 67 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 61.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 68.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 55.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 7.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54% | 62.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.2% | 23.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 43% |
| BP Converted % | 28.2% | 23.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.6 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 23.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.3% | 66.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Corentin Moutet
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Martin Landaluce
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Lorenzo Musetti
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Jaime Faria
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Fabian Marozsan
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Luciano Darderi
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Hubert Hurkacz face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tallon Griekspoor (Apr 26).
Hubert Hurkacz is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Lorenzo Musetti (Apr 24).
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