Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 59% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 439 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -44.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -3.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Musetti
0
Shapovalov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 38%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 36 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 36 | L 46 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 64 36 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 26 | L 36 26 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 16 | W 64 64 60 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 46 76 75 32 | L 46 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | L 67 64 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 58.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 52.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 4.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 53.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 30.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 44.4% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 36.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 13.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 20.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 43.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 64 at Australian Open on Hard.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Denis Shapovalov is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marin Cilic (Jun 10).
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