ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Musetti plays Daniil Medvedev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -10.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -1.36u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Musetti
2
Medvedev
May 13, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 16, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 10, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Musetti's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 26 | L 26 75 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 75 62 | W 16 64 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 06 64 57 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | L 36 75 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 16 | W 63 76 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 67 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | W 64 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 16 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 62.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 24.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 69% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Rome on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
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