ATP 250 · Semifinals · Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Musetti plays Andrey Rublev.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -1.33u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Musetti
1
Rublev
Jan 10, 2026
Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 12, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 36 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 26 | L 26 46 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 63 63 | W 36 76 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 36 67 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | L 57 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 26 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 63 | W 36 62 62 |
| Tomas Machac | W 57 64 62 57 62 | W 64 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 62 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | L 76 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 70.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 53.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 20.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 61.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Andrey Rublev face off in the Semifinals at Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open on Hard.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
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