ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Beijing
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 2,343 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Musetti here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 7–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.42 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | -25.0% | -13.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.75u | -2.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Musetti
1
Mannarino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mannarino's 30%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 75 64 60 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 75 62 | L 64 57 57 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 26 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Machac | W 57 64 62 57 62 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 57 26 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 75 | L 36 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 26 | L 46 67 |
| James Duckworth | W 75 61 | L 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 75 64 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 63.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 66.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 47.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 5.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54% | 44.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.2% | 23.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 28.2% | 35.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.6 | 18.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 28.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.3% | 67.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Corentin Moutet
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Martin Landaluce
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Ignacio Buse
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Nuno Borges
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Zizou Bergs
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Daniel Merida
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 16
Apr 3
Tommy Paul
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Adrian Mannarino face off in the Round of 16 at Beijing on Hard.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tallon Griekspoor (Apr 26).
Adrian Mannarino is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ignacio Buse (Apr 22).
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