ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Tokyo
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,120 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lloyd Harris plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Harris | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -24.8% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.49u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Harris
1
Minaur
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Harris's 25%).
| Opponent | Harris | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Yunchaokete Bu | L 67 61 16 | W 64 60 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 62 | W 62 62 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 67 26 46 | W 76 63 |
| Leandro Riedi | L 67 36 | W 63 62 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Harris | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.5% | 64.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.9% | 51.8% |
| Aces / Match | 7.5 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 35.8% | 57.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.9% | 30% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.6% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 32.2% | 44.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.3 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 51% | 76.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.8% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Yunchaokete Bu
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 1
Andrea Pellegrino
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Hugo Grenier
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Grand Prix Hassan II · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Matchup overview
Lloyd Harris and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 32 at Tokyo on Hard.
Lloyd Harris leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Lloyd Harris is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Yunchaokete Bu (Jun 1).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Brandon Nakashima (Jun 19).
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