WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Montreal
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,522 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Liudmila Samsonova plays Aryna Sabalenka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 8–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | +1.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.60u | +0.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
2
Samsonova
4
Sabalenka
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 2, 2023
Adelaide 1
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Samsonova's 20%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 64 67 36 | W |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 57 36 | W |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 75 75 | W 64 62 |
| Ann Li | W 64 63 | W 76 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 76 76 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 46 16 | L 62 36 57 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 57 | L 62 26 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 57 16 | W 62 46 63 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 75 57 36 | W 63 76 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 60 57 46 | W 46 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Samsonova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.7% | 65.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 71.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.3% | 54.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.9% | 34.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 54.4% | 45.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 54.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Liudmila Samsonova and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Round of 16 at Montreal on Hard.
Liudmila Samsonova leads 2-4 over 6 previous meetings.
Liudmila Samsonova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 25).
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
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