WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Adelaide 1
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,522 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Aryna Sabalenka plays Liudmila Samsonova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–1 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | +1.2% | -65.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.11u | -2.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Sabalenka
2
Samsonova
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 2, 2023
Adelaide 1
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Samsonova's 20%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 64 67 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | L 57 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 64 62 | W 75 75 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 46 16 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 64 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | L 36 57 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 57 16 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 76 | L 75 57 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | L 60 57 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 61.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.8% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.5% | 42.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.2% | 37.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.5% | 54.6% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 54.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.5% | 50.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova face off in the Round of 16 at Adelaide 1 on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Liudmila Samsonova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 25).
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