Grand Slam · Quarterfinals · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marin Cilic here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -27.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
5
Nishikori
3
Cilic
Sep 26, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 5, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 15, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2016
Basel
H Hard · Finals
Jul 4, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 9, 2015
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2015
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 63 46 26 | W 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 28.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 46.6% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 40% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 18.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 27.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 76.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Marin Cilic face off in the Quarterfinals at US Open on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 5-3 over 8 previous meetings.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Marin Cilic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 16).
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