Kei Nishikori vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Marin Cilic have met 8 times since 2015; Kei Nishikori leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 4–2. Nishikori has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cilic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 12 sets to Cilic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 0, Cilic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 5, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 15, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2016
Basel
H Hard · Final
Jul 4, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 9, 2015
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2015
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 63 46 26 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–44 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 48% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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