Kei Nishikori vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Marin Cilic have met 8 times since 2015; Kei Nishikori leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 4–2. Nishikori has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cilic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 12 sets to Cilic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 0, Cilic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marin Cilic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 5, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 15, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2016
Basel
H Hard · Final
Jul 4, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 9, 2015
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2015
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 75 26 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 63 46 26 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–40 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 50% |
| Sets won | 50% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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