ATP 500 · Quarterfinals · Tokyo
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎾 All-Court
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 1,601 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marin Cilic here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -27.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
5
Nishikori
3
Cilic
Sep 26, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 5, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 15, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2016
Basel
H Hard · Finals
Jul 4, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 9, 2015
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2015
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 63 46 26 | W 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 28.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 46.6% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 40% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 39.3 | 26.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.2% | 73.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Marin Cilic face off in the Quarterfinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 5-3 over 8 previous meetings.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Marin Cilic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 16).
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