Other · Semifinals · Tokyo Olympics
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 469 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Karen Khachanov plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.20u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
5
Khachanov
3
Busta
Sep 5, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
May 11, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 12, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 9, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Khachanov's 33%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 46 64 | W 46 76 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 67 | W 62 36 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 75 46 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 46 67 | L 46 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Khachanov | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.8% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.4% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.7% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.9 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.2% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.7% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.2 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karen Khachanov and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo Olympics on Clay.
Karen Khachanov leads 5-3 over 8 previous meetings.
Karen Khachanov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ethan Quinn (Jun 16).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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