ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Marseille
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Karen Khachanov plays Mackenzie McDonald.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.20u | -3.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
5
Khachanov
0
McDonald
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Sep 24, 2023
Zhuhai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 14, 2022
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Mar 8, 2021
Marseille
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Khachanov's 33%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 61 36 64 | L 67 57 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 76 57 61 76 | W 26 62 75 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 64 64 | W 64 36 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 67 | W 36 62 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 63 36 46 | L 67 76 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 | L 26 26 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 36 | L 62 36 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 46 67 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Khachanov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.8% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.4% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.7% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.9 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.2% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.7% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.8% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.2 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Karen Khachanov and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 16 at Marseille on Hard.
Karen Khachanov leads 5-0 over 5 previous meetings.
Karen Khachanov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ethan Quinn (Jun 16).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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