ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Dubai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
💥 Big Hitter
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,683 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Karen Khachanov plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.20u | -0.88u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Khachanov
2
Minaur
Oct 30, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 26, 2024
Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 22, 2022
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 5, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Khachanov's 30%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 62 76 46 57 67 | L 36 62 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 60 26 26 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 63 36 46 | W 60 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 63 67 | W 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 64 64 | W 36 76 75 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 26 | W 63 36 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 76 46 36 | L 57 26 16 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 61 36 64 | W 62 64 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 75 64 64 | W 62 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Khachanov | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.8% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.4% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.7% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.9 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.2% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.7% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 39.8% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.2 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karen Khachanov and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 32 at Dubai on Hard.
Karen Khachanov leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Karen Khachanov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ethan Quinn (Jun 16).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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