ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Padova
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Garin
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,775 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Juan Pablo Varillas here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -17.3% | -24.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | -3.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Varillas
2
Garin
Mar 8, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 16, 2018
Padova
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 13, 2016
Lima
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Garin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Varillas's 22%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Midon | L 67 46 | L 36 75 46 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | W 26 63 63 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 26 | W 26 61 61 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | W 62 64 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 06 57 | L 57 62 46 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 62 61 | W 63 62 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 26 | W 26 62 63 |
| Andrea Collarini | L 61 26 46 | W 63 75 |
| Hady Habib | W 75 36 63 | W 76 16 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Varillas | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.8% | 59.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.9% | 71.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.2% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.8% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26% | 33.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 34.8% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 4 | 23.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 50% | 74.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.3% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Learner Tien
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras Open 4 · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Juan Pablo Varillas and Cristian Garin face off in the Round of 16 at Padova on Clay.
Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
Cristian Garin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Learner Tien (May 26).
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