WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -5.5% | -8.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -1.12u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Pegula
1
Fernandez
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 21, 2025
Washington
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 18, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W | L 36 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W | L 75 46 67 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | L 64 46 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | W 67 61 76 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 57 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Ann Li | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 63 62 | L 36 06 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | W 63 75 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 63 62 | W 76 36 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pegula | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.6% | 65.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.3% | 48.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 5.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 65.2% | 67.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.5% | 35.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.4% | 55.7% |
| BP Converted % | 39.5% | 49.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.5% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jessica Pegula and Leylah Fernandez face off in the Quarterfinals at Cincinnati on Hard.
Jessica Pegula leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Linda Noskova (Jun 21).
Leylah Fernandez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alycia Parks (May 25).
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