Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,074 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jelena Ostapenko plays Jasmine Paolini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | - |
| ROI % | -46.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Ostapenko
1
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Ostapenko's 14%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | W 67 62 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | L 57 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 16 67 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 57 16 | W 63 16 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 26 36 |
| Priscilla Hon | L 36 26 | W 60 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 6.1 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.2% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.7% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 55.2% | 41.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 128 at Us Open on Hard.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Lucrezia Stefanini (May 5).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
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