WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,074 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jasmine Paolini plays Jelena Ostapenko.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.57 |
| ROI % | - | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
1
Paolini
3
Ostapenko
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Ostapenko's 14%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 16 67 | W 64 75 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | L 57 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 60 62 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.6% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 40.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51% | 56.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 55.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 40% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Jelena Ostapenko face off in the Round of 16 at Rome on Clay.
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-3 over 4 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Lucrezia Stefanini (May 5).
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