WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bucsa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Jasmine Paolini and Cristina Bucsa are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,190 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.01 |
| ROI % | - | +1.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Paolini
2
Bucsa
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Bucsa's 33%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 26 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | L 16 76 26 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | W 61 46 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 16 67 | W 64 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 67 16 | L 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 06 16 |
| Veronika Kudermetova | W 62 75 | L 75 26 57 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 64 61 | W 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 66.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.6% | 56% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 44.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 34% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51% | 58% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 40.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Cristina Bucsa face off in the Round of 32 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
Cristina Bucsa is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Shuai Zhang (May 17).
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