WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Merida
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Cristina Bucsa and Jasmine Paolini are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,190 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–0 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.01 | - |
| ROI % | +1.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Bucsa
1
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Bucsa's 33%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | L 64 67 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 16 76 26 | L 26 26 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 62 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 63 | L 16 67 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 16 | L 64 67 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 16 | L 36 16 |
| Veronika Kudermetova | L 75 26 57 | W 62 75 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 36 46 | W 76 76 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.2% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 44.2% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 58% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 40.9% | 41.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.8% | 49.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Cristina Bucsa and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Semifinals at Merida on Hard.
Cristina Bucsa leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Cristina Bucsa is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Shuai Zhang (May 17).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
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