WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Potapova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Jasmine Paolini and Anastasia Potapova are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,190 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.65 |
| ROI % | - | +64.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Paolini
1
Potapova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Paolini's 33%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 67 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 46 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | W 76 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 63 75 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 57 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 67 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 16 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 64 61 | L 67 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.6% | 68.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 45.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 57.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 43.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51% | 59.3% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 54.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Anastasia Potapova face off in the Round of 64 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dalma Galfi (May 5).
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