WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Jasmine Paolini are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,190 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | - |
| ROI % | +64.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.29u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Potapova
2
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Paolini's 33%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 64 64 | L 75 26 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 64 64 | W 36 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 75 | L 26 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 36 16 |
| Iva Jovic | L 57 36 | L 26 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 46 | W 61 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 67 26 | W 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Potapova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.6% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.3% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59.3% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 54.1% | 41.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 49.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Anastasia Potapova and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Anastasia Potapova leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dalma Galfi (May 5).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
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