Grand Slam · Round of 16 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 483 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jannik Sinner here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | +1.59u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Sinner
1
Paul
May 16, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 2, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 12, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 22, 2022
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
May 2, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Paul's 50%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 | W 26 63 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 60 62 | W 62 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 63 76 | L 63 36 26 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | L 61 57 46 57 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 61 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Elmer Moller | W 62 63 | W 63 63 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 76 63 | L 67 46 57 |
| Tomas Machac | W 61 67 63 | L 62 36 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | W 75 46 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.6% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.7 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.6% | 48.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 36.4% | 43.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 25.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.2 | 33.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.9% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 16 at US Open on Hard.
Jannik Sinner leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
Share this match
