ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Auckland
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jan-Lennard Struff here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -4.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.53u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Struff
3
Busta
Nov 4, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 16, 2019
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 10, 2019
Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2016
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 14, 2015
Szczecin
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Struff's 50%).
| Opponent | Struff | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 36 | W 63 76 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 62 64 | W 64 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 26 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 64 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 62 | W 64 46 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 61 16 | W 63 62 |
| Hugo Grenier | W 60 64 | W 46 61 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 64 26 62 36 16 | L 36 61 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Struff | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.6% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.2% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 8.5 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 65.5% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.4% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 43.1% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.8 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.7 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.7% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jan-Lennard Struff and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Quarterfinals at Auckland on Hard.
Jan-Lennard Struff leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Jan-Lennard Struff is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Bublik (Jun 11).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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