ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draper
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 4,349 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jack Draper here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.60 |
| ROI % | - | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.59u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Draper
2
Paul
Apr 30, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 21, 2024
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2024
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 7, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 10, 2023
Adelaide 2
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Draper's 0%).
| Opponent | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Reilly Opelka | L 67 67 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 0% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 0% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 0 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 0% | 48.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 0% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 0% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 0% | 43.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 25.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 33.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 0% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Quarterfinals
Mar 11
Francisco Cerundolo
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32
Mar 9
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Roberto Bautista Agut
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Jack Draper and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Jack Draper leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Jack Draper is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Novak Djokovic (Mar 11).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
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