WTA 1000 · Final · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Iga Swiatek here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–3 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 4.02 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +278.1% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | +47.27u | -3.19u |
Prior meetings and scores · 13 career meetings
8
Swiatek
5
Sabalenka
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
May 6, 2024
Rome
C Clay · Final
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Final
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 24, 2023
Madrid
C Clay · Final
Apr 17, 2023
Stuttgart
C Clay · Final
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 29, 2022
Us Open
H Hard · Semifinals
May 9, 2022
Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Swiatek's 70%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | W |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 57 61 61 | W |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 57 16 | W 64 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W 62 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | W | W 64 26 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 67 63 | W 64 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 60 63 | W 62 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 62 | L 62 36 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 46 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | W 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.8% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.4% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.7% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 69.3% | 57.8% |
| BP Converted % | 52.1% | 39.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 59.2% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 75% | 76% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Final at Madrid on Clay.
Iga Swiatek leads 8-5 over 13 previous meetings.
Iga Swiatek is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mariya Kostyuk (May 31).
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
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